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KDI Monthly Economic Trends 2018. 11

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KDI Brief No.154 (November 12, 2018)

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KDI Monthly Economic Trends 2018. 11
Export growth shot up temporarily, but domestic demand stayed weak, implying that overall economic activity appears subdued.
 
 
October exports soared on increased workdays, but the overall trend appears to decelerate.
- Average export growth for September to October, after controlling Chuseok holiday effect, slackened.
 
In September, the growth in domestic demand exhibited a pretty steep slowdown as investment continued to weaken and even seasonal factors weighed on demand.
- Growth in retail sales shrank due to early Chuseok holidays and the overall improvement in consumption appears to be moderating.
- Facilities and construction investment continued to slump with relatively huge decreases in growth.
Major Economic Indicators
(Year-on-Year % Change)
2016 2017 2017 2018
8 9 10

   Exports (f.o.b.)

-5.9

15.8

8.4

9.9

3.1

1.7

8.7

-8.2

22.7

   Imports (c.i.f.)

-6.9

17.8

11.6

13.7

12.9

7.8

9.4

-1.6

27.9

   Balance of Trade
   (Billion US Dollars)

89.2

95.2

20.1

12.7

18.7

23.2

6.8

9.6

6.6

   Consumer Price

1.0

1.9

1.5

1.3

1.5

1.6

1.4

1.9

2.0

   3-year Treasury Bonds

1.64

2.13

2.13

2.22

2.12

2.01

1.92

2.01

1.94

   KOSPI

2,026

2,468

2,468

2,446

2,326

2,343

2,323

2,343

2,030

   Won/Dollar Exchange Rate

1,207.7

1,070.5

1,070.5

1,063.5

1,114.5

1,109.3

1,112.9

1,109.3

1,139.6

   Oil Prices
   (Dubai, US$/Barrel)

41.4

53.2

59.3

63.9

72.1

74.2

72.5

77.2

79.4

※ This summary and assessment is a part of 『KDI Monthly Economic Trends 2018. 11』. Please visit the KDI Monthly Economic Trends page and see more graphs.
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