KDI 한국개발연구원 - 경제정책정보 - 국내외연구자료 주제 - 경제일반 - 경제일반 -

본문

경제정책정보

유관기관의 다양한 자료를 한 곳에서 살펴보실 수 있습니다.

세미나

Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession

NBER 2020.07.16
페이스북
We study the real-time signals provided by the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Index of Business conditions (ADS) for tracking economic activity at high frequency. We start with exit from the Great Recession, comparing the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs to a "final" late-vintage chronology. We then consider entry into the Pandemic Recession, again tracking the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs. ADS swings widely as its underlying economic indicators swing widely, but the emerging ADS path as of this writing (late June) indicates a return to growth in May. The trajectory of the nascent recovery, however, is highly uncertain (particularly as COVID-19 spreads in the South and West) and could be revised or eliminated as new data arrive.

가입하신 이동통신사의 요금제에 따라
데이터 요금이 과다하게 부가될 수 있습니다.

파일을 다운로드하시겠습니까?
KDI 연구 카테고리
상세검색