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Working Paper

Commodity Exports and International Economic Linkages

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  • 저자 F. Gerard Adams
  • 발행일 1988/11/01
  • 시리즈 번호 8818
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요약 International economic interrelations have come increasingly
into the foreground as internationally linked economic instability
has mounted since the early 1970s, as a result of broad
movements in prices of fuels and others commodities. It is
fortunate that economists are also increasingly better able to
handle global econometric systems and to integrate commodity
price impacts into these models. In this paper we ask how far
econometric approaches have been developed to deal with
commodities in international economic linkages.

We conclude that great progress has been made in modeling
international economic linkages related to the business cycle. The
focus has been on trade flows and import prices, particularly as
a result of the pioneering work of the University of
Pennsylvania's Project LINK. Commodity markets have been
integrated into global model systems. Ongoing work promises to
deal further with commodity trade flows, exchanges rates,
financial flows and debts which have increasingly become
sources of instability. The full integration of commodities into
the world system and the description of short term speculation
and of long term changes such these related to industrial
policies, technical change, and transfer of technology, are still a
challenge to econometric modelers.
저자

F. Gerard Adams

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