Policy Study Investment and Business Cycles: focusing on Investment Dispersion December 31, 2020
Series No. 2020-07
December 31, 2020
- Summary
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This study empirically verifies that the form of the adjustment cost function serves as an important mechanism in investment decision-making after confirming that the investment dispersion of Korean companies is pro-cyclical and can affect economic fluctuations. Specifically, it is revealed through empirical analysis using corporate financial data rather than a macroeconomic model that the investment adjustment cost function generally assumed in macroeconomics is asymmetric and irreversible in the Korean economy. In particular, since the substitution effect of the marginal value-to-cost of a one-unit investment in inter-temporal investment decision-making is affected by the additional adjustment cost from the sale of equipment assets, and not the investment in equipment assets, it is empirically proven to lead to an expansion of investment dispersion. This ultimately shows, albeit indirectly, that investment dispersion can affect economic fluctuations as the investment adjustment cost function influences the decision-making in investment. What is implied here is that the adjustment cost function is not merely a deep parameter that fits the dynamics of economic fluctuations in a macroeconomic model, but it could be a macro policy variable that can be endogenized through economic policy.
- Contents
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Preface
Executive Summary
Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 Relationship Between Corporate Investment and Business Cycles
Section 1 Decision-Making in Corporate Investment
Section 2 Investment Adjustment Cost Function of Corporations
Section 3 Corporate Investment and Business Cycles
Section 4 Corporate Investment and Business Cycles in Korea
Chapter 3 Corporate Investment Model and Empirical Methodology
Section 1 Corporate Investment Decision Model
Section 2 Data for Empirical Analysis
Section 3 Empirical Methodology: Generalized Method of Moments
Chapter 4 Empirical Results: Investment and Business Cycles
Section 1 Estimation of Investment Adjustment Cost Function
Section 2 Investment Adjustment Cost Function and Business Cycles
Section 3 Comparison Between Empirical Analysis and Simulation
Section 4 Digression: Industry-Specific Investment Adjustment Cost Functions and Q-Theory
Chapter 5 Conclusion and Policy Implications
Section 1 Conclusion and Limitations
Section 2 Policy Implications
References
Appendices
ABSTRACT
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